Hamada Jaber
2026 / 2 / 3
For decades, Europe has portrayed itself as a distinctive global model-one that successfully blends economic integration, democratic governance, respect for human rights, and expansive social welfare. This self image was famously captured by Josep Borrell, the former EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs, when he remarked in October 2022 that "Europe is a garden, and the rest of the world is a jungle."
Yet this "garden," while largely sparing the continent from devastating internal wars, has come at an overlooked cost: the steady erosion of Europw s strategic security. Despite repeated and increasingly explicit warnings, Europe s short-term electoral politics and cumbersome decision-making bureaucracy have turned strategic security into an unintended casualty of its own success.
Warnings Ignored, Time and Again:
The first alarms sounded soon after the end of the Cold War. By the early 2000s, Russia was led by a former intelligence officer whose name quickly became synonymous with the state itself: Vladimir Putin. From the outset, Putin demonstrated a clear determination to --restore-- Russian power, particularly in the post-Soviet space. This ambition manifested itself in the brutal consolidation of control in Chechnya, Russia’s intervention in Georgia, and the recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent states in 2008.
A far more consequential warning arrived in 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea—then under Ukrainian sovereignty-marking the first forcible change of Europe s borders since the Second World War. Europe s response, however, remained-limit-ed to economic sanctions, without a fundamental reassessment of its strategic security posture. Reliance on the United States and NATO continued largely unquestioned. The costs of that complacency have since become painfully clear, as Europe grapples with the far-reaching consequences of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine since early 2022.
A second, equally significant warning came not from an adversary, but from Europe’s closest ally. With Donald Trump s arrival in the White House in 2017, long-standing assumptions about the permanence of American security guarantees were openly challenged. Trump publicly questioned the value of NATO and criticized European states for their inadequate defense spending, making clear that U.S. protection was neither unconditional nor eternal. Many European capitals dismissed these statements as rhetorical excesses tied to Trump’s personality, rather than recognizing them as signals of a deeper strategic shift in U.S. thinking.
Today, those concerns have resurfaced in an even starker form. Trump’s renewed rhetoric about asserting control over Denmark’s strategically vital territory of Greenland in the Arctic has shocked many in Europe. Yet at its core, this position reflects a timeless principle of international politics that Europe has long preferred to forget: there are no permanent friends´-or-enemies, only permanent interests.
Democracy’s Short Horizon:
Europe’s political systems are built on relatively short electoral cycles, compelling governments to prioritize policies that deliver immediate, visible benefits to voters—economic growth, employment, social protection, and public services. Defense and security, by contrast, are widely perceived as costly investments with delayed returns and-limit-ed electoral appeal, particularly in the absence of an imminent military threat.
As a result, many European governments have reduced´-or-frozen defense spending, implicitly outsourcing strategic security to the United States through NATO. Strategic security thus became an “externalized responsibility,” while elected leaders focused on maximizing welfare gains within the confines of their electoral terms to safeguard political survival.
Bureaucracy and Strategic Paralysis: T
he European --union-- s complex bureaucratic architecture has further compounded this problem. Decision making mechanisms that rely on consensus—or near-consensus—among member states inevitably slow responses to emerging threats. Divergent national priorities and threat perceptions, when combined with unanimity requirements, often produce diluted compromises that fall well short of what strategic realities demand.
This dynamic helps explain why the idea of a unified European army has persisted in political rhetoric for decades yet remains absent in practice. Member states remain reluctant to cede sovereignty, assume additional financial burdens,´-or-relinquish control over decisions of war and peace.
Conclusion:
This argument is not a call for Europe to abandon democracy. Rather, it is a reminder that democracy, to endure, must be underpinned by credible strategic power. Strength is not solely about waging wars, but about preventing them. From this perspective, Europe may find it increasingly difficult to challenge the logic behind U.S. arguments—however controversial—regarding Greenland, whether framed in terms of Arctic security, NATO’s strategic depth,´-or-access to rare earth minerals vital to global industrial and technological competition dominated by China.
Europe’s challenge today is not to defend its “garden” through rhetoric alone, but to recognize that without strategic foresight and hard power, even the most carefully cultivated garden cannot remain secure indefinitely.
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