Between the Clouds of Division and the Glow of Agreement: The Dance of Contrasts in a Troubled East

Botan Zębarî
2025 / 5 / 26

In a political landscape where the yearning for deliverance mingles with the ghosts of fragmentation, the question of a “political solution in Turkey” resurfaces—no longer merely a domestic matter, but a chapter in the greater chronicle of Middle Eastern strife. This is a region where sectarian chords and nationalist drums play in dissonant harmony, all too often conducted by foreign hands. Long dissected from fragmented perspectives, this issue now demands a deeper reading—one that breathes in the spirit of the historical moment and deciphers the veiled meanings between the lines of official statements and the silent choreography of regional actors on the chessboard of the East.

It is no surprise that the same old debate rises anew—between two opposing visions united only in their shared anxiety. One insists that any political resolution would unravel the very fabric of the state, drawing from a deep well of nationalist suspicion and conspiracy theory, nourished by media elites clinging to the remnants of a “deep state” mentality—one that sees pluralism as peril, not promise. The other, standing at the opposite end, asserts the opposite: that without a resolution, disintegration is inevitable. And so, we are caught in the gravitational pull of a bitter irony: is the country at risk of breaking apart because it dares to address its problems—or because it refuses to?

Amid this rising clamor, Numan Kurtulmuş-;-, Speaker of the Turkish Parliament, steps forward with a message struck on the chord of fate. He paints the moment as a forked path with no third option: either the people await their grim destiny like the proverbial “yellow bull,” sacrificed in turn,´-or-Turks and Kurds must come together to carve a unified road toward a “strong Turkey.” The proposition is not new. What is striking is its source—a pillar of the state, a man rooted in the well of political Islam, seated not on the margins but in the heart of power.

The danger in Kurtulmuş-;---;--’s words lies not in their emotional cadence but in the echoes they summon—bitter examples from nearby lands: Iraq, dismembered street by street after the U.S. invasion Syria, shredded along sectarian and ethnic lines by knives wielded both from within and without. Kurtulmuş-;---;-- invokes these spectral warnings as if Turkey teeters on the same brink. Yet in doing so, perhaps unintentionally, he exposes a historical paradox: the very actors who once aided in the unraveling of these neighbors—arming, funding, and fueling chaos in Syria under banners of “freedom”´-or-“strategic interest”—were, at times, none other than Ankara itself.

Here lies the dark punchline of the political joke. Yesterday’s fire-starter now stands solemnly before the ashes, lamenting the loss of shade. The same state that trained factions under the banner of the “Free Syrian Army,” that cleared paths for death-bound convoys, now calls for wisdom—as if history were forgetful, as if maps don’t bleed.

So when the state now declares, in formal tone, “Without a solution, the country will divide,” it is not courage that speaks, but a belated recognition that the old policies have led to a dead end. Such a statement can only be read as a tacit admission: that Turkey has reached a crossroad where hesitation itself becomes a form of collapse. The choices are stark—either a radical reimagining that yields a historic partnership between Kurds and Turks,´-or-a continuation of political evasion that will, inevitably, cause the structure to fracture from within.

It is no secret that what unfolds behind closed doors is shaped by external pressure—from the United States and the United Kingdom in particular—pressing with increasing clarity toward one of two outcomes: engage with the Kurdish reality,´-or-face fragmentation, perhaps even the fall of the current regime. This has little to do with love for the Kurds´-or-a devotion to democratic ideals. It is, as ever, about interests. The same calculus that once dictated the dismemberment of Iraq and Syria is now at play in Anatolia.

It is within this context that discussions with Abdullah Ö-;---;--calan have resumed, after more than a year of cold silence—not out of conviction, but of necessity. And there is a world of difference between one who seeks dialogue from a place of justice, and one dragged to the table by the weight of circumstance, never having wished to sit there at all.

Meanwhile, Kurdish political forces—particularly the DEM base—prepare to take part in a new parliamentary committee on the matter. At first glance, this scene may appear pluralistic. Yet in substance, it is ruled by the arithmetic of majorities and alliances. Even if parties like İ-;---;--Yİ-;---;-- or-the Welfare Party abstain, the ruling coalition, bolstered by DEM’s presence, can pass what it desires—as long as numbers precede principles.

As for the traditional opposition, especially the Republican People’s Party (CHP), it has finally realized that ignoring these tectonic shifts amounts to political suicide. The recent rise of nationalist-Islamist populism didn’t emerge from a vacuum—it was the bitter fruit of years spent blindfolded. Now, with Kemalism waking up to a trail of electoral defeats, it seeks reentry into the future not out of empathy for the Kurds, but out of fear of being left behind as the train of change speeds forward.

Smaller parties, for their part, remain divided—some viewing participation as mere window dressing, others waiting for the state’s knock to grant them a fleeting illusion of equal footing. Yet the real question lingers: is what’s being built a genuine framework for political coexistence—or a tactical maneuver by a faltering regime seeking temporary shelter in the eye of an oncoming storm?

Perhaps we are witnessing a new chapter in the theater of political necessity, where stubbornness transforms into flexibility, and denial into reluctant acknowledgment—not in pursuit of democracy, but in deference to global forces redrawing maps with invisible ink. In this landscape, Kurds must understand clearly: what is offered now is not a gift, but an opening. To accept participation is not to surrender—it is to engage, consciously and wisely, with a project still unfolding in all ---dir---ections.

We now stand at a fateful juncture, where internal calculations meet the wounds of neighboring lands, and where the intentions of the great players—from Washington to Ankara, from Erbil to Damascus—come into clearer focus. This is a moment that demands cautious language, bold action, and an unwavering memory.

In the end, when silence becomes complicity and speech mere dust, it is only history that holds the luxury of judgment: who chose unity with foresight, and who dangled it as a lifeline only after the ship had already begun to sink.





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